Urban mobility scenarios until the 2030s

نویسندگان

چکیده

Urban mobility is particularly affected by technology development. This research focuses on the system of cities in foreseeable future – that is, until 2030s. A systematic literature review (SLR) 62 scientific documents and 52 scenarios predicted developed researchers are presented here, providing a comprehensive picture current urban transport perspectives. Based complex method built for this review, four (‘Grumpy old transport’, ‘At an easy pace’, ‘Mine yours’, ‘Tech-eager mobility’) have been created, each forecasting different path towards mobility. The so formed describe expected role potential emerging solutions (namely autonomous vehicles, shared mobility, electrification) include socio-economic environmental By 2030, most likely pathways pace’ or yours’ scenarios, which means only incremental advance, such as slow shift self-driving, electric vehicle use predicted.

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Sustainable Cities and Society

سال: 2021

ISSN: ['2210-6707', '2210-6715']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scs.2021.103029